Enterprise Flight

Enterprise Flight
Enterprise Flight

'Indian Shipping Industry' available now through Aarkstore Enterprise

Shipping Industry is one of the most cyclic industries. Being a global industry, it is affected by a whole gamut of factors which range from world economic condition, political events, natural disasters to age of existing vessels, new vessel delivery schedules, availability of ship building slots with ship yards, government regulations etc.

Besides being characterized by volatile revenue stream, the shipping industry is also highly capital intensive. A single ship can cost anything between US $20 Mn to US $300 Mn. Commoditized product coupled with the fact that globally there are a large number of players in this segment; no single company has significant pricing power.

The total world shipping tonnage, as on 1st January 2007, stood at 1014.55 Mn DWT [Dry Bulk (35%), Wet Bulk (37%), Containerships (12%), General cargo (10%) and others (6%)]. The Indian tonnage, as on 1st October 2007, stood at 15.08 Mn DWT [Dry Bulk (34%), Wet Bulk (58%), Containerships (1%), others (7%)].

In 2007, the shipping industry saw a clear dichotomy between the wet bulk and the dry bulk freight market. While the dry bulk freight rates moved from strength to strength during the greater part of the year in 2007, the tanker market saw a downturn in the freight rates as compared to the rates witnessed in 2006. For containership freight market, 2007 was a year of consolidation after having witnessed a meltdown in 2006.

The wet bulk market remained suppressed in 2007 due to decreased movement of crude oil. The orderbook position at the beginning of 2008 was very high. With world tanker fleet being young not much tonnage deletion is expected in the next 2-3 years. A probable slowdown in US economy and its consequent impact on world economy will thus decide the balance between cargo movement and tanker tonnage supply.

Dry bulk cargo constitutes of two main commodities: iron ore and coal. Iron ore trade is largely driven by the demands of the Chinese steel industry. Chinese iron ore demand remained strong in CY 2007. As 83% of India’s iron ore exports are to China, the trade volumes arising out of India will also depend, to some extent, on the prospects of Chinese steel industry. The demand for coal is expected to remain strong from the Asian countries. The orderbook position at the beginning of 2008 seemed very high. A timely delivery of the new buildings will thus decide the actual tonnage addition and consequently the demand – supply balance.

With 2-2.5 times relationship with GDP growth rate, the container trade volumes will continue to grow exponentially. The cargo growth will occur due to increase in the volumes of the currently containerized commodities as well as due to containerization of newer commodities. With orderbook position at precariously high levels, it remains to be seen whether the world containerized cargo is able to absorb the new tonnage.

India will be a major contributor to the incremental growth of cargo in all the segments in the coming years. As per NMDP projections, the total cargo traffic at the Indian ports is expected to grow at a CAGR of 13.58% upto FY12 with the POL, coal and container traffic growth remaining strong. Though the cargo emanating from India is expected to remain healthy, the Indian shipping industry can take advantage of this opportunity only if the Indian government plays a facilitative role. At present the most pressing problem faced by the industry is that of manning. Under Merchant Shipping Act, ships with Indian flags need to necessarily be manned by Indian crew. As there is a shortage of officers (due to flight of officers to foreign flags), the Indian shipping companies find it difficult to meet this requirement. Besides this the Industry is also saddled with other challenges like onerous tax structures (12 taxes), multiplicity of regulations, falling cargo support from TRANCHART, infrastructure constraints etc.

To encourage the addition of tonnage under Indian flag, the Indian government needs to provide conducive financial and fiscal/legal environments which are at par with international standards, barring which Indian shipping companies may explore possibilities of adding tonnage outside India by setting up subsidiaries in countries with more favorable environment.

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About the Author

Aarkstore Enterprise is a leading provider of business and financial information and solutions worldwide. We specialize in providing online market business information on market research reports, books, magazines, conference at competitive prices, and strive to provide excellent and innovative service to our customers. Our customers include more than 700 leading financial institutions, professional service firms, consulting, law and accounting firms and other corporations throughout the world.

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Enterprise - Fight Or Flight Review

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